The American League is pretty linear - that is, the teams' propensity to enter the postseason roughly corresponds to their record - but the National League is not even close. The Dodgers are projected to win 77 games but are #6 in propensity to win a divisional championship because they play in the West, whereas St. Louis will win 87 games but is only #8 on the divisional championship list because of their difficult Central division. The Cardinals, however, can gloat about their top position in the wild card race, where the Dodgers are only #7.
MLB Final Record Predictions
1 - CHC : 98 - 64
2 - BOS : 95 - 67
3 - TAM : 92 - 70
4 - LAA : 92 - 70
5 - CHW : 91 - 71
6 - OAK : 90 - 72
7 - PHI : 87 - 75
8 - STL : 87 - 75
9 - MIL : 84 - 78
10 - NYY : 84 - 78
11 - MIN : 83 - 79
12 - ATL : 82 - 80
13 - FLA : 82 - 80
14 - TOR : 81 - 81
15 - ARI : 81 - 81
16 - BAL : 81 - 81
17 - TEX : 81 - 81
18 - DET : 80 - 82
19 - CLE : 80 - 82
20 - NYM : 79 - 83
21 - PIT : 78 - 84
22 - LAD : 77 - 85
23 - HOU : 76 - 86
24 - KAN : 76 - 86
25 - CIN : 73 - 89
26 - SFO : 72 - 90
27 - COL : 68 - 94
28 - SDG : 67 - 95
29 - SEA : 65 - 97
30 - WAS : 59 - 103
AL Division Championship Pace
1 - BOS - 1.0000 (95 - 67)
1 - LAA - 1.0000 (92 - 70)
1 - CHW - 1.0000 (91 - 71)
4 - OAK - 0.9285 (90 - 72)
5 - TAM - 0.7595 (92 - 70)
6 - TEX - 0.5941 (81 - 81)
7 - MIN - 0.4652 (83 - 79)
8 - DET - 0.2712 (80 - 82)
9 - CLE - 0.2447 (80 - 82)
10 - NYY - 0.2084 (84 - 78)
11 - TOR - 0.0226 (81 - 81)
12 - BAL - 0.0000 (81 - 81)
12 - KAN - 0.0000 (76 - 86)
12 - SEA - 0.0000 (65 - 97)
AL Wild Card Pace
1 - TAM - 1.0000 (92 - 70)
2 - OAK - 0.9251 (90 - 72)
3 - NYY - 0.7093 (84 - 78)
4 - MIN - 0.6766 (83 - 79)
5 - TOR - 0.6112 (81 - 81)
6 - BAL - 0.5993 (81 - 81)
7 - TEX - 0.5920 (81 - 81)
8 - DET - 0.5656 (80 - 82)
9 - CLE - 0.5504 (80 - 82)
10 - KAN - 0.4104 (76 - 86)
11 - SEA - 0.0000 (65 - 97)
NL Division Championship Pace
1 - CHC - 1.0000 (98 - 64)
1 - PHI - 1.0000 (87 - 75)
1 - ARI - 1.0000 (81 - 81)
4 - ATL - 0.8416 (82 - 80)
5 - FLA - 0.8321 (82 - 80)
6 - LAD - 0.7322 (77 - 85)
7 - NYM - 0.7211 (79 - 83)
8 - STL - 0.5365 (87 - 75)
9 - MIL - 0.4461 (84 - 78)
10 - SFO - 0.3823 (72 - 90)
11 - PIT - 0.1872 (78 - 84)
12 - HOU - 0.1270 (76 - 86)
13 - COL - 0.1123 (68 - 94)
14 - CIN - 0.0000 (73 - 89)
14 - SDG - 0.0000 (67 - 95)
14 - WAS - 0.0000 (59 - 103)
NL Wild Card Pace
1 - STL - 1.0000 (87 - 75)
2 - MIL - 0.9197 (84 - 78)
3 - ATL - 0.8510 (82 - 80)
4 - FLA - 0.8414 (82 - 80)
5 - NYM - 0.7292 (79 - 83)
6 - PIT - 0.6896 (78 - 84)
7 - LAD - 0.6674 (77 - 85)
8 - HOU - 0.6361 (76 - 86)
9 - CIN - 0.5233 (73 - 89)
10 - SFO - 0.4863 (72 - 90)
11 - COL - 0.3465 (68 - 94)
12 - SDG - 0.2884 (67 - 95)
13 - WAS - 0.0000 (59 - 103)
Wednesday, June 25, 2008
Final Record Predictions and Playoff Pace: June 25, 2008
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Pretty clear cut predictions, but maybe we will be suprised (in a bad way) by the Cubs my the end of the season. I love them, but something just isn't right about this season. Boston is a shoe in for number 2 though, those Purple-drinking crazies are rolling all over the league again.
ReplyDeleteThe NL is so hard to get a read on. The Cubs are the best team but after that it is wide open. If your AL rankings come to pass and the playoffs involve Boston, Tampa Bay, Angels, and White Sox it could be the most entertaining post season in a long time.
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